With the long weekend coming-up and being otherwise engaged, we’re going to take an early look at the Easter Monday action.
It may pay to wait and see what the results of the games on Good Friday are and adapt accordingly, as some sides might not have the squad to cope with a quick turnaround, injuries or suspensions picked-up or you might be able to find some value in backing or laying those whose seasons are officially over after Friday. Prices aren’t available for most games yet either, so we’re taking a bit of a guess at where there might be a little bit of value.
Anyway, taking Monday’s fixture list at face value, we’ve plumped for a double on League Two to carry our recent run of form into the Easter weekend.
Accrington to Win at Home to Crawley
Accrington came from two down against Exeter last weekend to secure our Saturday double and continue their exceptional run of form, taking it to thirteen games unbeaten. That run of will come to an end at some point, with their Good Friday fixture away at Blackpool looking tough, but I expect them to beat a Crawley side who have won just three times since January. There is still an outside chance of Accrington reaching the play-offs, they would need results to go their way but they are only four points off seventh so it is still possible, and their momentum could take them there.
Crawley had a fairly decent start to the season but have been in mid-table or below since October and have struggled for consistent form, winning just five games since the turn of the year. They have never really looked like dropping into the relegation struggle but do have one of the poorest away records in the division, losing 11 of their 21 away fixtures so far, which makes them particularly vulnerable here.
It’s tough to predict how teams at this level will cope with the quick turnaround in games, but the games do come thick and fast in this league so it won’t be too much of a shock to the system. The biggest danger would be either of these sides taking an early holiday with their seasons effectively over, but Accrington do still have the outside chance of climbing into the play-offs so I’m backing them to continue their run of form and take another three points.
Hartlepool to Win Away at Leyton Orient
Staying with League Two for our second selection, both of these sides are in the bottom three and in danger of dropping into non-league, with Leyton Orient effectively already gone.
Hartlepool have been in the bottom half of the table for most of the season and seem to be one of those sides who are always in a bit of a struggle. A change of management in January, with a return to management for Dave Jones who had spent a number of years out of management, seemed to bring a slight upturn in fortunes but they have failed to win in the last four and are now just three points above the drop. They have a poor away record, winning just four all season away from home, but they won’t have faced a team as bad as this Orient side.
It’s a sad state of affairs at Leyton Orient and you have to feel sorry for the majority of those involved at the club. It wasn’t so long ago that they just missed out on promotion to the Championship, but after being sold immediately after their play-off final loss they have been in freefall and it’s hard to see how the new owner could ever be seen as fit and proper to run a football club. Over the past couple of seasons Orient have been through almost as many managers as games won, with five different managers this season and their home form being particularly bad, winning just three and losing seventeen in League Two. With stories of players and staff not being paid, added to their current league position, Leyton Orient may even face greater dangers than dropping out of the Football League.
It’s hard to have confidence in a side who are in the bottom three and have won just four games away from home all season, but Leyton Orient are a mess and Hartlepool can take advantage to grab the three points and move towards safety.
Accrington & Hartlepool – 1pt Double @ (Price to be Updated)