With the Festival up and running after the opening day roar we move onto the second day of proceedings with the Queen Mother Champion Chase the feature race of the Wednesday.
Hopefully everyone would have had a successful opening to the Festival and are taking full confidence and bulging wallets into the second day of battle.
Wednesday/Day Two Selections
Neptune Novices Hurdle:
We open day two with the Neptune Novices Hurdle over 2m5f, which actually generally turns into the better trial guide for the following years’ Champion Hurdle as the style of running is more in line with this.
There is still a look of openness to this at final declarations, but I feel the one real standout candidate who could just be a cut above the rest in terms of class is NEON WOLF, who I am going to side with here.
Each way value is still around in this, so if looking for something at bigger prices Bon Papa or Shattered Love would be the ones for me.
RSA Novices’ Chase:
This doesn’t look to have the greatest depth or class in it this year, there are a couple who standout on that front but the one who looks a cut above is ALPHA DES OBEAUX. The form behind Thistlecrack in the Stayers’ Hurdle last year is well above what any other contender has shown and although there would be concern over the fact he badly bled last time I’m prepared to ignore that.
As ever the Coral Cup looks a real puzzle and one of the most competitive races of the week. Tombstone will be heavily backed on the basis that he was flagged as a Champion Hurdle contender but he’ll offer no value and the form of his last win might not actually be that strong given that Jezki would have hated the ground.
The form of PEREGRINE RUN‘s victory at the course earlier in the season looks incredibly strong given that Wholestone and West Approach were in behind, so he could be very well in at the weights, but he might just be over-bet at this point. With the inevitable shortening of Tombstone, however, you might just find a bit more value on the day.
As an each way bet at bigger prices MISTER MIYAGI might just offer some value, with the form of his sixth in the 2016 Supreme Novices’ looking really strong and a rumoured wind-op looking to bring a bit of improvement on his form this year.
Queen Mother Champion Chase:
DOUVAN wins. There’s not a lot else to say so just enjoy watching him.
If he can sort out his jumping GARDE LA VICTOIRE might just offer some value each way or in the betting without market.
Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase:
Not a race everyone enjoys, but personally I think it’s a bit of fun even if just limiting to small stakes given the nature of the race.
The favourite looks strong here but I feel he could be vulnerable to one of those we’ve not seen much of in this discipline. With that in mind, I feel Sausalito Sunrise could have that bit of class to win first time out over C&D but I’m going to side with CAUSE OF CAUSES in the hope the rumoured schooling over the course and his usual improvement in form at the Festival can lead to victory.
This race is always a bit of puzzle given the entire field are potentially unexposed as four year olds running in a handicap. I’m not usually one to side with top-weights in races of this nature, but reading his win over Master Blueeyes when conceding weight and the fact he has had his wind done since, I have to side with DIVIN BERE.
Not a race I have a great deal of affection for, it’s rarely one I can get too enthusiastic about. The strongest form in the book looks to be with WESTERN RYDER and there is still some value in the price, so he is the selection.
I could easily see WEST COAST TIME improving with a proper jockey on top so he might offer some threat to the selection.
Day Two Selections (Based on 2pt win or 1pt e/w per selection):
1:30 Neon Wolf – win
2:10 Alpha Des Obeaux – win
2:50 Peregrine Run – win
Mister Miyagi – e/w
3:30 Garde La Victoire – e/w
4:10 Cause of Causes – win
4:50 Divin Bere– win
5:30 Western Ryder – win
Results So Far (Calculated at SP Return):
Day 1: Staked 14pts, Profit/Loss: +7
Apples Jade 2pts win @ 7/2 (Won)
Tully East 1pt e/w @ 8/1 (Won, advised at 14/1)